Serie A and Ligue 1 Thoughts

As always, bets are with Smarkets unless stated otherwise.


Serie A

Gone for something a bit different with Atalanta versus Fiorentina and equally split one stake between a result of 1-0 and 2-0 (both Atalanta winning) at 7.8 and 9.4 respectively. Atalanta have the lowest goals for of any top five side but have only conceded thrice in seven matches. Fiorentina have goals for and against of seven and six respectively, so I think the odds are a narrow Atalanta win with a clean sheet (there’s 1.95 for them to just win if you prefer that).

I’ve also backed Udinese to win away versus Verona at 2.3. Shorter odds than I’d normally take for an away win but Udinese are currently third and average over two goals a match while Verona are 17th, have lost four out of seven matches and typically concede almost two goals a game.

 

Ligue 1

Just the one French bet this time: Lorient to win at home versus Lille at 2.88. Pretty basic, they’ve won 75% of matches played this season and are ahead of Lille in the table. That, plus home advantage, makes 2.88 look good.

 

Morris Dancer

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