La Liga, Ligue 1, and Bundesliga Thoughts

La Liga

With Ladbrokes, just the one bet: over 3.5 goals between the Madrids (Atletico and Real), at 3.2. Real Madrid averages 3 goals a match and Atletico 1.8. In their last away matches, Real have scored 3, 4, and 2 goals. In their home matches, Atletico have scored 4 and 0. Think this could go either way but the odds looked too long to me.

 

Ligue 1

Nothing caught my eye here.

 

Bundesliga

Usual Bundesliga warning: this is far and away my worst league so even more than the other bets, follow at your own risk.

I’ve backed Werder Bremen to win away at Bayer Leverkusen at 5. The home side have lost 4/6 matches so far, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses for Werder Bremen. Oddly, their away form is better with a couple of wins and a draw. At home, Bayer Leverkusen have lost all three matches so far.

With Ladbrokes, I’ve backed under 3.5 goals in the Augsburg versus Bayern Munich match at 2.2. The home side have scored once in their last three matches, while the visitors have an impressive 19 goals from half a dozen matches, though 13 of these did come in two shellackings. In their last three matches, Bayern Munich have scored 2, 1, and 1 goals.

  

Morris Dancer

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