EPL and Serie A Thoughts

EPL

Just the one bet, backing over 3.5 goals for Brentford versus Arsenal at 2.6 (at the time of writing the Ladbrokes/Smarkets price was identical so I went for the former but check the latter to see if things have improved). Surprisingly, Brentford actually have more goals for (15 against 14) but with an average of over a dozen each in half a dozen matches I think there’s a reasonable chance of this coming off.

 

Serie A

Two bets here, and the first is with Ladbrokes (marginally better odds with boost). I backed, at 2.1, fewer than 2.5 goals to be scored between Torino and Sassuolo. In the six matches to date they have goals for of 6 and 4 respectively.

With Smarkets, I backed Udinese at 4 (at home) to beat Inter Milan. Surprisingly, Udinese are higher in the table (both have four wins but Inter has lost twice to Udinese’s one draw and one loss). Udinese also has a marginally better goal difference and home advantage. Udinese’s last two results were beating mid-table Sassuolo (away) and thumping Roma 4-0 at home. Inter’s last two Serie A results were a narrow home win and narrow away defeat, plus this month they’ve lost at home and won away in the Champions League.

 

As an aside, couple of big matches at the top of Serie A, so if you have title bets this is a time to keep your eyes peeled.

 

Morris Dancer

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