La Liga and Bundesliga Thoughts

A day early, because I had some time to kill, here are a few bets on the Spanish and German leagues. As always, bets are with Smarkets unless noted otherwise.

La Liga

Backed Espanyol at 2.98 to win at home versus Sevilla. The latter have had a rather poor start with three losses and a draw, and scoring just thrice (conceding eight). Espanyol are so-so (a win, a draw, two losses) but their last result was beating Athletic Bilbao away, and 2.98 at home seems good. 

In the Cadiz-Barcelona match I backed over 3 goals at 2.44. Barcelona have scored 11 goals in four matches, but their first was a 0-0 draw so that can also be read as 11 in three (averaging over three, of course). Cadiz, meanwhile, are at the foot of the table, have scored no goals and conceded 10. In their last two matches they’ve conceded three and four goals.

 

Bundesliga

Health warning: my German bets tend to be atrocious. Weirdly, the last bet was green, but that’s very much against normal operating procedure.

 

Backed Werder Bremen at home at 1.72 to beat Augsburg. Bremen are in the upper half of the table while Augsburg are struggling to escape the bottom (16th of 18), with four losses out of five.

At Ladbrokes, I’ve backed Hertha Berlin at home to beat Bayer Leverkusen at 3.8. The latter have also lost four out of five opening matches, while Hertha Berlin managed a win, draw, and three losses (just marginally better). I think this could go either way, which makes 3.8 odds for a home result worth backing.

 

Morris Dancer

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