Serie A and La Liga Thoughts 5 January 2023

Perused the Serie A markets but nothing caught my eye.


In La Liga, I’ve laid Mallorca at 2.04 to win at home versus Real Valladolid. The two teams are comparable in the table, just a couple of points apart, and while Valladolid’s away form has been so-so at best, Mallorca have just two home wins so far.

I’ve also backed over 2.5 goals in the match between Almeira and Real Sociedad at 2.14. This has been true in 4/7 Sociedad’s away matches, and in 5/7 of Almeira’s home games this season. Marginal, but value, I think.

Bit surprised to have more than two bets in a single league, but also laid Sevilla to win at home versus Getafe, at 1.83. Despite those short odds the side has yet to win a single home match this season, while Getafe have three losses, two draws, and two wins away so far.


If you have a free bet consider Osasuna away at Athletic Bilbao at 5.5 or more. Not a tip so, good or bad, won’t count in my results.


As ever, bets are with Smarkets unless noted otherwise.

Morris Dancer

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