Everything but the EPL, 26 January 2023

I did check the Bundesliga a few days ago for the opening 2023 matches but nothing caught my eye, hence no blog/bets.


Serie A

Backed Empoli at home versus Torino at 3.35. Home side has had some decent form of late, winning twice and drawing once in the last three matches, including an away draw against Lazio and home win against Inter Milan. Empoli and Torino have very similar overall stats but the home side, with that advantage and better recent form, looks more appealing.

Not a tip, but if you have a free bet consider Roma away against Napoli at 5 or longer. Napoli do have a rock solid home record this season (no losses) but Roma are a top flight team so the odds may be a shade long.


La Liga

Backed Osasuna to win at home versus Atletico Madrid at 3.8. The sides are 3 points apart so the odds seem long for a home win. I did hesitate a bit as Madrid have a very good away record (Osasuna’s home record is pretty good, winning two-thirds of the time). Recent results are pretty similar.


Ligue 1

This won’t count in the regular records, but Lens are just 3 points off leaders PSG and can be backed, with boost, for the title with Ladbrokes at 29. Two points further back is Marseille, with a boosted price of 23. Backed both with tiny sums.

No Ligue 1 match bets this time around.


Bundesliga

Nothing caught my eye this time round either.


So, just a pair of bets from four leagues. As ever, bet at your own risk.


Morris Dancer


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

F1 2014 - Second and Third Tests

Image
Bit of a whopper of an article, but it didn’t make sense to write two for the Bahrain tests, as they were so close together. Many of the rule changes are helpfully outlined here: http://www1.skysports.com/f1/news/22058/9077826/gearing-up-for-2014-the-rule-changes-uncovered-and-explained-part-one This is one more reason why reliability is to critical. Losing a whole power unit (exceeding the 5 per season limit) means starting the next race from the pit lane. Losing a component, such as the turbo, means a 10 place grid penalty. On day one of the first test in Bahrain it appeared the Renault/Red Bull woe might continue. However, both Red Bull and Toro Rosso got in good running on the second day. Any remaining issues seem more to do with the car rather than the power unit. It’s been suggested the Renault requires significantly more cooling than rival engines, but apparently there are upsides. If the horsepower rumours were true (Mercedes being mighty and Ferrari better
Read more

Japan: early discussion

Image
As we enter the latter stages of the season we have multiple pairs of back-to-back races, hence this discussion starting a day after the Korean Grand Prix (which may be the last, incidentally. The circuit’s too isolated, surrounding developments haven’t been built and the organisers are annoyed by the high cost of staging the race which is the only use of the circuit all year). The Suzuka circuit is a proper one, with lots of elevation changes, a very fast flowing section (similar to Silverstone) and some very high speed corners. Sadly, I expect this will mean it’ll suit Red Bull. However, given their resurgence, it’s worth mentioning that last year Sauber had a strong result at Suzuka, when Kobayashi got third. Perhaps Hulkenberg will be able to get good points again (thanks to him Sauber are now tied on points but ahead of Toro Rosso in the Constructors’) and Gutierrez could nab his first point or two. Lotus benefited from some fortune with the safety car timing in Kore
Read more

America: pre-race

Image
Q1 saw the pointless teams ditched as usual, but there was a stark divergence between the Williams’ drivers. Bottas was 1st (in Q1 only), and Maldonado 18th. Turns out money can only buy seats, not speed. Surprising to see such a difference between the two drivers, though. Sutil went out in 17th, and may have suffered some sort of technical problem as he peeled off after his final lap. During Q2 it was confirmed Sutil had a problem, namely a slow puncture. Q2 saw the surprise departure of Rosberg. The Mercedes seemed to be the best of the rest, so that’s quite a shock. Not only that, he’s 14th, behind Ricciardo, Di Resta and Button (although Button suffers a 3 place grid penalty for ignoring red flags during practice). Massa is behind Rosberg, followed by Vergne. Impressively, Sauber got both of their cars into the top 10. Q3 was surprisingly close, but Vettel narrowly got pole ahead of Webber. Grosjean continues his strong form with 3rd, followed by Hulkenberg, who is
Read more