Everything but the EPL 2 March 2023

Serie A

I’ve backed the Napoli versus Lazio match to have over 2.5 goals at evens. This has occurred in 8 of 11 home matches for Napoli this season, and in all of the two teams’ last four encounters.


Ligue 1

Laid Toulouse to win at home versus Clermont at 1.85. The teams are a point apart in the table, and both have poor recent records (Toulouse a little better, to be fair). In 13 home matches to date Toulouse have a win/draw/loss record of 6/4/3, while Clermont have four away wins and four away draws (and four away losses).

I’ve also backed Lorient to win away at Lyon at 6.5 (Ladbrokes’ boosted). Highly similar to the above match, just a point between the sides so the odds look misplaced. Lyon have a trio of home losses and draws apiece, with six wins, while Lorient have five away wins, three away draws, and four away losses.

For the above two bets it can be argued whether it’s wiser to lay the home side or back the away side. I don’t have a firm view on reckoning this generally and just make the call on a case by case basis. For now, anyway.


Decided against any bets on La Liga or the Bundesliga.


Morris Dancer


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