EPL and Ligue 1 - 22 September 2023

EPL

I’ve backed Spurs to win away at Arsenal at 4.9. The two sides are on identical points and look pretty evenly matched. That being the case, the odds on an away win are a little longer than should be the case. Home advantage is a big deal in the EPL, but Arsenal have shipped points with every home match to date, and Spurs have scored in every away match and won two out of three. A viable alternative is to lay Arsenal for the win at roughly 1.7 or less.


La Liga and Serie A

Nothing tickled my fancy this round from La Liga and Serie A.


Ligue 1

I’ve backed Metz to win at home versus Strasbourg at 3.1 (Ladbrokes). The two sides are pretty even, Metz has mildly better recent form. That being the case, the odds for a home win are worth backing. Probably 50/50 as to whether that result happens.

Also gone for Toulouse to win away at Lens at 5.4. While high fliers last season, so far (in five games) the home side have achieved a solitary point. Toulouse, meanwhile, have six points, with a win and three draws. Laying the home side, as per the Spurs bet above, at 1.7 or less is another way to go.


As ever, bets are with Smarkets unless noted otherwise and place wagers at your own risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and don’t put milk in first or people will think you’re a barbarian. And they’ll be right.


Morris Dancer

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