Football Bets and an F1 Note 13 April 2023

 

As always, football bets are with Smarkets unless noted otherwise. Bet at your own risk, and only bet what you can afford to lose.

I tend not to comment, good or bad, on results, but getting two own goals in results that went against me did feel a little bit unreasonable of the universe. Until I remembered my super flukey Saudi Arabia results on Perez, for which they provided some cosmic balance, perhaps.


EPL

Decided to back Aston Villa to win at home versus Newcastle at 3.75. While Newcastle have a game in hand, their advantage over the home side stands at nine points currently, which is a reasonable but not incredible margin. Both have very good recent records (Newcastle aided by an opposition own goal last time), so the home odds feel a little long to me.


Serie A

I’ve laid Torino to win at home to Salernitana at 1.83. While they enjoy home advantage and are ahead in the table, Torino have also had some losses of late, while Salernitana have made drawing a habit (including one against Inter Milan). Neither side are high scoring, Torino has a fairly weak home record, and Salernitana have drawn six of 14 away games, and won two of them (including a win against Lazio, and draws against Juventus and AC Milan).


Ligue 1

Nothing caught my eye.


F1 Note

It’s mooted to change the sprint race nonsense for the next (in a fortnight or so) race. The planned schedule would become:

Friday – practice, race qualifying

Saturday – sprint qualifying, sprint race

Sunday – race

Remains to be seen if this’ll be adopted but keep it in mind if F1 betting is on your radar.


Morris Dancer

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