EPL, Ligue 1, and Serie A 27 April 2023

 

EPL

I’ve backed Bournemouth to win at home versus Leeds at 2.76. The home side has two defeats but three wins in the last five matches, to Leeds three defeats, one draw, one win. Bournemouth have a pretty average home record, while Leeds are poor away.


Ligue 1

Went for Clermont to win at home versus Reims at 3.1. The home side has won three on the bounce, whereas the visitors have lost twice in their most recent matches. A single point separates them in the table, so the odds for a home win feel a little long.


Serie A

Decided to back Lazio to win away at Inter Milan, at 4.8. Lazio are seven points higher in the table and while their most recent match was a loss they had won the four prior games (whereas Inter Milan won their last match but had three losses and a draw before that). Lazio also have a very impressive home record, so I’m surprised their odds are so long. Might not come off, of course, but the number is bigger than expected. (NB the Lazio bet is boosted price on Ladbrokes, rather than a Smarkets bet).

 

The F1 weekend will have race qualifying on Friday, sprint qualifying and race on Saturday, and the proper race on Sunday. Unsure how I’ll handle the betting. Might just watch the sprint and bet on the race based on how that goes.


Morris Dancer

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