Canada: post-race analysis 2016
Got
to say I found the race slightly underwhelming from both a betting
and watching perspective. Raikkonen finished so the weekend was red,
alas.
Before
the start, Sainz got a five place grid penalty for a gearbox change
necessitated by the crash he had in qualifying.
Off
the line, Hamilton was sluggish and Vettel had rocket boosters. The
German was into the lead almost immediately and Rosberg was alongside
Hamilton. However, Rosberg made a mistake and got pushed to the grass
which saw him drop to about 10th.
Vettel
and Hamilton scampered off, and Verstappen had passed Ricciardo.
Rosberg languished in the midfield.
Surprisingly,
Vettel was able to pull a gap and escape the DRS zone. He and
Hamilton were some way ahead of the chasing pack, and Rosberg was
making heavy weather of getting back to the sharp end.
The
Virtual Safety Car was deployed due to Button’s car pulling over
(his engine was on fire). Ferrari took the opportunity to pit Vettel
and put on supersoft tyres. I must’ve missed a rule change, because
this forced him into a two stop strategy as the soft tyre was
‘mandated’ and had to be run during the race (this year three
compounds have been available at every race).
The
VSC came in quickly, as usual. And then the disappointingly obvious
occurred. Hamilton pitted. Vettel pitted. The Ferrari wasn’t fast
enough even with fresher rubber to close the gap. Hamilton won,
Vettel was a few seconds down the road but never again challenged for
the victory. Ferrari’s strategy (which they also ran for Raikkonen)
was rather disappointing.
Late
on, Rosberg clambered through the ranks. A podium (Bottas in 3rd
at this stage) was possible, but first he had to pass Verstappen, who
had earlier ignored a team request to get out of Ricciardo’s way
(his team mate did appear faster but was unable to pass in the first
half of the race).
Rosberg
was clearly faster than Verstappen, but the Dutchman positioned his
car perfectly, and Rosberg couldn't get past. The German had another
crack on the penultimate lap, but lost the rear and was lucky he had
run-off rather than a wall to go into. It didn’t cost Rosberg a
place, but it was another very strong showing from Verstappen.
This
also enabled Bottas to breathe a sigh of relief and retain 3rd,
the first podium Williams have enjoyed this year.
Raikkonen
was an anonymous 6th, Ricciardo a disappointing 7th,
Hulkenberg got 8th, Sainz did well to climb to 9th,
and Perez nabbed the final point.
There
was no rain at all, alas.
Drivers’
standings:
Rosberg
116
Hamilton
107
Vettel
78
Ricciardo
72
Raikkonen
69
Verstappen
50
After
four races, Hamilton was on 57 points, Rosberg on 100. Never expected
that gap to tumble so quickly. After the much commented upon bad luck
Hamilton had early on, Rosberg has since had a DNF due to his team
mate’s error, and a brake issue at Monaco (the Canada result was
due to Rosberg screwing up, rather than misfortune). Is it an
inevitable Hamilton victory this year?
No.
Whilst highly probable Hamilton will claim his fourth title, remember
Rosberg had a seven race winning streak at the back end of last year
and start of this. His mistakes total buggering up the first corner
of Canada, and that’s about it. If (and it’s a very big if)
Rosberg can keep his head, he can beat his team mate.
Further
down the field, the battle for 3rd spot is quite
intriguing. The Ferrari was clearly faster, due to the engine
upgrade. Its chassis remains inferior to the Mercedes and Red Bull.
So, the Prancing Horse may enjoy fast circuits like Austria, but not
slow ones (such as Azerbaijan, where we go next weekend).
Constructors’
standings:
Mercedes
223
Ferrari
147
Red
Bull 130
Williams
81
Force
India 42
Toro
Rosso 32
McLaren
24
Haas
22
Renault
6
Mercedes
seem destined for victory here as well. Could be tight for 2nd,
however. Williams look nailed on for 4th (they may be a
shade disappointed, but remember it’s only a few years ago that
they were backmarkers). Force India, after a lacklustre start, got
another double points finish in Canada and must be hopeful of getting
5th again.
Although
the points are tight between Toro Rosso, McLaren and Haas, the teams
are in a bit of a weird position. McLaren will struggle to advance
further, Haas had a lightning start and has been a bit rubbish since,
and Toro Rosso have been reliably racking up small points tallies
just about everywhere.
Sauber
are flat on their back, and Renault are barely better, but will be
glad of their six points.
The
next race, as I mentioned, is in Azerbaijan this coming weekend. The
circuit is a collection of tedious right angles around the streets of
Baku. Bring caffeine.
Morris
Dancer
Comments
Post a Comment