Feels like bloody ages since the last race, but it’s only been three weeks. Hungary’s effectively all by itself (not unlike Kim Jong-Il in Team America: World Police), because Spa follows it after a four week break.
Pirelli have changed the tyre compounds from medium-hard to soft-medium (originally they were soft-medium, I think, but got moved in the hard direction when tyre issues occurred and have been moved back due to the new construction).
In addition, it’s likely to be hot, which should help Lotus and Ferrari. Force India have typically done well in such conditions too, but their pace in Germany was unexpectedly poor and they (as well as Mercedes) appear to have been hit hard by the ban on swapping rear tyres.
Obviously, the Pirellis are now a new construction, designed not to explode. However, Vettel and Hulkenberg both reckon that, for the driver, there’s little difference to the old ones. So, I’d guess the Germany pecking order is more or less what we’ll get at Hungary.
Hungary’s a circuit all about front end grip, and it’s a rather rubbish track. Because of the layout, it’s very hard to overtake. Passes on track will be due to wildly differing pace (Red Bulls Vs Caterhams, for example, or tyres falling off the cliff), and the start, as well as pit stops, will be where we see most overtaking.
So, there’ll be a premium on qualifying and I’d guess the starting grid and final result will be fairly similar. That said, I do anticipate the Silver Arrows going backwards.
As always, comments, thoughts, tips and cunning insights are all welcome.