EPL, Ligue 1, Serie A 20 April 2023

EPL

I’ve backed Bournemouth to win at home versus West Ham at 2.96. Bournemouth are currently two points ahead in the table but do have a game in hand, so very much equals on that score. Recent form is also similar, slightly better for the home side. West Ham have only two away wins so far, and three ties, with the rest (nine) being away losses. Bournemouth are neither notably good nor poor at home, but I do think home advantage makes this worth backing.


Ligue 1

I’ve backed Clermont to win away at Nice at 5.7. In the table, Nice are on 45 points to Clermont’s 43. Clermont have a strong away record, with half their 12 wins this season coming on the road. Nice’s home form is not terrible but the large number of draws and some losses mean the wins are just five from 15. Because of this, laying the win is also quite tempting. As ever, that’s a judgement call/educated guess/wild stab in the dark after sacrificing a goat to the gods. I went for the Clermont win as they have a three match winning streak whereas Nice have lost their last two matches and drawn the three before that.


Serie A

Backed Monza to win at home at 3.75 versus Fiorentina. The sides are similar in the table, and the home wins/away wins for the home and away side respectively are both five (from 15 and 14 respectively). Over the last two matches Monza have better form, over the last five Fiorentina do. Could easily go either way but the relatively long odds on a home win for evenly matched sides makes it worth a shot, I think.


As ever, bet at your own risk. Odds are for Smarkets unless noted otherwise.


Morris Dancer


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