tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post1130811603742796983..comments2022-03-29T14:11:51.852+01:00Comments on MorrisF1: America: pre-raceUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-54324634698474484602013-11-18T00:49:25.605+00:002013-11-18T00:49:25.605+00:00So the podium 1 2 3 was set after the first turn o...So the podium 1 2 3 was set after the first turn on the first lap.<br /><br />Is this worth watching?<br /><br />Tim BAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-64094944362749865342013-11-17T18:46:28.339+00:002013-11-17T18:46:28.339+00:00Was this the same handsome young chap who tipped a...Was this the same handsome young chap who tipped a 31-40 Wales victory at 12/1?<br /><br />We should be told.GeoffMnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-18637231104470981472013-11-17T18:36:02.817+00:002013-11-17T18:36:02.817+00:00Slightly harsh on Maldonado, methinks. As you say,...Slightly harsh on Maldonado, methinks. As you say, he was impeded by Gutierrez, but also by Chilton. You cannot have two wasted flying laps in Q1 and expect to do well.<br /><br />However, his later outburst was horrible. Good riddance, hopefully out of the sport.<br /><br />Now I've got to decide whether to listen to the race, then stay up for the late-night highlights. Got a lot to do, so it might have to be one or the other...David Cottonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17662508558674678268noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-58931042816803675832013-11-17T18:09:44.910+00:002013-11-17T18:09:44.910+00:00Yes, it was me.
Tim BYes, it was me.<br /><br />Tim BAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-20993537563455788582013-11-17T17:32:09.605+00:002013-11-17T17:32:09.605+00:00Hey, everyone.
Not sure if the post-race piece wi...Hey, everyone.<br /><br />Not sure if the post-race piece will be done this evening or tomorrow morning.<br /><br />Mr. Anonymous (Tim B?), I didn't buy the last game, but the F1 videogames are excellent for giving a better picture of undulation in the various tracks, especially compared to TV footage.<br /><br />I've put a little on the Massa top 6 bet. I was considering trying it through Ladbrokes, but when I checked they only had win, podium and points markets.<br /><br />Mr. M, memory-hole is a horrid term. I'm also mildly miffed you referred to the Obama bet (a paltry 50/1) and neglected to mention a magnificent 70/1 bet on Button that a handsome young chap once tipped.Thaddeushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03402288610238485494noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-73832397259045575772013-11-17T17:16:03.303+00:002013-11-17T17:16:03.303+00:00A fun fact from a work colleague of my wife sittin...A fun fact from a work colleague of my wife sitting in the bleachers at turn 1 of COTA -<br /><br />the apex of turn 1 is 131 feet higher than the start/finish line. That's some hill.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-25925233391286025692013-11-17T16:24:58.012+00:002013-11-17T16:24:58.012+00:00Further to my post above, I asked for and obtained...Further to my post above, I asked for and obtained a price of 8.2 for a Massa top 6 finish by entering this figure in the lay column, rather than simply taking the backing price then on offer. I'm interested to learn whether or not you guys do this on a regular basis, believing as I do that obtaining the very best value when betting is everything and iseffectively the difference between making a profit or a loss over the longer term.Peterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13048006066991783830noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-73989001165832389972013-11-17T15:54:13.845+00:002013-11-17T15:54:13.845+00:00Geoff - I had no idea that Massa had finished top ...Geoff - I had no idea that Massa had finished top 6 in his LAST SIX outings, that being so his odds of 6/1 against his doing so again look very attractive - even more attractive is Betfair's price of "8" which nets down to 6.65/1 net in old money. Incidentally, that's TWENTY times the odds of 1/3 on his team mate achieving the same feat - just how crazy is that! <br />The great thing about a blog such as this is that several searchers out of value are far better than one .... thanks for spotting this.<br />Speaking of sharing info, are you guys aware that Ladbrokes have very recently set up a betting exchange on their own website, although bets there have to be separately funded from their main fixed odds operation - grrh. This will be good news if they are able to seriously compete with Betfair, although curiously they had previously acquired Betdaq some months ago but don't appear to have done much with it - perhaps they believe, probably quite correctly, that the better way of promoting this type of betting is under their own flagship name - do take a look anyway.Peterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13048006066991783830noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-52795091695281868672013-11-17T13:44:34.199+00:002013-11-17T13:44:34.199+00:00Good afternoon to everyone!
A very interesting a...Good afternoon to everyone! <br /><br />A very interesting analysis Mr Dancer and many thanks for it. Also to Peter for your followup.<br /><br />I also looked at my usual Winning Margin bet. Earlier in the season WH offered the bet either side of 8secs. That later slid to a 8.5sec margin and today I see it is either side of 9.5 secs. Interesting that they have moved the time as well as the odds but that reflects the massive change in winning margin. Over the course of the season the average winning margin has been 8.35 seconds, but in the last six Grand Prix a much higher 18.32 seconds.<br /><br />This late in the season I'm going out on a limb: Hamilton - winner of the last two races here (7 and 12) Although the Merc doesn't have the pace of Red Bull I can't resist the hope of Vettel getting a shunt or mechanical failure. At 25-1 with WH for the win that's got to be worth a couple of speculative groats, backed up with a couple more for a podium.<br /><br />If he gets nowhere I'll ask Mr Dancer to quietly memory-hole this comment. If he wins I'll go on a Smithson/Obama style betting victory rampage for years and you'll never hear the last of it. <br /><br />Massa has been top 6 in the last 6 outings and I've tipped that one here in the comments on previous races. I'm on points at 6/4 alongside Peter, but I've also taken the 6/1 for yet another top 6. <br /><br />Good luck everyone!GeoffMnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-558661752392463861.post-1153091147576309622013-11-17T13:14:29.038+00:002013-11-17T13:14:29.038+00:00Like you Morris, I'm struggling to find any va...Like you Morris, I'm struggling to find any value.<br />Backing Grosjean to win at 37/1 was value, but it's money down the pan all the same. To recover my modest losses there, my only other bet this weekend is backing Massa at 6/4 to achieve a points finish which I consider a very fair price. He's produced some solid performances in the second half of the season and, whispering this very quietly, has sometimes out-performed his more illustrious team mate.<br />Fingers crossed for an exciting and eventful race and good luck everyone.Peterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13048006066991783830noreply@blogger.com