Austria: post-race analysis 2018


Well, the bet on Sainz didn’t come off (bad luck, would you believe?) but the race itself was enthralling from end to end. Fantastic to watch, it was. I’ll do my best to recount it, but so much happened I may well miss small details.

Off the line, Raikkonen (surprisingly) had a flyer and Bottas went backwards at a rate of knots, at one point descending to around 5th. Hamilton got the lead, and Verstappen did well, with Bottas fighting back very well to regain 2nd. Meanwhile, Sainz lost many places and Vettel dropped one or two, with Stroll enjoying his usual first lap skill and gaining a place.

The cars were all able to stay pretty close together, suggesting good racing in prospect, which came to pass.

Vettel set about slowly climbing the field, and the two Mercedes began to ease away from Verstappen.

Hulkenberg, who had been running solidly in the points, was forced to retire when his engine burst into flames. The German sensibly drove his Renault far off the track to avoid inconveniencing the other drivers.

Shortly thereafter, Bottas suffered a DNF due to a reliability problem. Not sure if it was the engine or not, but I did hedge an early win bet, and feel quite relieved about that (he and Hamilton seemed set fair for a straightforward 1-2).

The Virtual Safety Car emerged and numerous cars (Red Bulls, Ferraris, Grosjean, some others) dove into the pits. Hamilton did not. When he was forced to pit due to tyre wear (which was greater than expected, perhaps due to higher temperatures than previously experienced this weekend) he emerged behind the other top dogs, except for Vettel (who, it will be recalled, started 6th and went backwards off the line).

He was disgruntled, and Mercedes’ race strategy chap got on the wireless in very apologetic fashion.

At the front, Verstappen was in the lead, ahead of Ricciardo and Raikkonen (who were having a good old tussle). Ricciardo had to pit a second time and later suffered a reliability problem, and also DNFed.

Hamilton was only a short distance ahead of Vettel, and the German managed to pass him on track, which must have rubbed salt into the wound. The Mercedes was chewing up its tyres a lot and he came into the pits for fresh rubber. Could he close the gap, and/or take advantage of others suffering tyre wear?

Further back, Sainz was in 8th when he had rear tyre blistering and had to pit again. Unfortunately for him, it was a terribly slow stop and put him well out of the points. The Haas cars (who, like the Renaults, started in the top 10) were cruising around serenely, picking up places as faster cars burst into flames around them.

Hamilton was only marginally faster than the Ferraris, which were taking chunks out of Verstappen’s lead, despite his fresh rubber. Power seemed to be a slight problem, from one MGU or other. He was an unhappy chap, which is fair enough, and it seems doubtful his mood was improved when he also suffered a DNF due to a reliability failure.

Raikkonen got close to Verstappen but couldn’t pass him. Like everyone else, I was expecting Ferrari to switch the drivers, but they did not. Verstappen got the win, second went to the Finn, and Vettel got 3rd. Once again, the title lead switched, but it could’ve done so by 3 more points.

Behind them came Grosjean, who finally avoided bad luck, and Magnussen, for a fantastic and much deserved result for the Haas team.

Ocon and Perez came next, a strong finish for the Force Indias, who have not had the best start to a season. Alonso rose all the way from the pit lane to 8th place, another impressive performance.

Perhaps the happiest team (maybe after Haas) will be Sauber. Ericsson and Leclerc got the final points positions, earning valuable points for the team.

Hartley also failed to finish when his car broke down.

All in all, an exciting race from start to finish.

Drivers:
Vettel 146
Hamilton 145
Raikkonen 101
Ricciardo 96
Verstappen 93
Bottas 92

Once again, the title lead switches. I’m mildly surprised Ferrari didn’t swap their cars, but there we are. I do feel sympathy for Bottas, who has lost around 60 points or so due to misfortune (Baku puncture, French collision, today’s DNF). He should be right in the title fight. Ricciardo has had a few DNFs too. Anyway, very tight between the top two and slightly difficult to see anyone else getting close to them. However, the sudden absence of Mercedes’ reliability (new engine woe?) could prove decisive if this is repeated rather than a one-off.

Constructors:
Ferrari 247
Mercedes 237
Red Bull 189
Renault 62
Haas 49
McLaren 44
Force India 42
Toro Rosso 19
Sauber 16
Williams 4

I don’t think it’ll last, but the Prancing Horse took the lead from the Silver Arrows. Red Bull gained ground on Mercedes but lost a little to Ferrari. Further back, Haas leapt from 27 points to 49, leapfrogging both Force India and McLaren. Although Alonso scored, McLaren lost a lot of ground to Force India, and are barely ahead now. At the lower end, Sauber not only extended their lead over Williams, but they’re only 3 points adrift of Toro Rosso now.

All in all, that may well be the most exciting race of the season so far. The British Grand Prix is the very next weekend.

Morris Dancer

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